Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
- Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%39%
- Flávio Bolsonaro <4%36%
$756.2K Vol.

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Brazil Presidential Election

$180.5M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará

Lula81%
Flavio Bolsonaro20%

$40.9K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas 5-10%17%
Ruas 10-15%13%

$23.6K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$70.7K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Flavio Bolsonaro51%
Lula47%

$57.7K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais

Flavio Bolsonaro90%
Lula7%

$11.0K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

Lula68%
Flavio Bolsonaro32%

$57.0K Vol.

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

26%chance

$158.3K Vol.2 months left

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro84%
Lula12%

$49.9K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

Allyson81%
Cadu de Lula18%

$63.5K Vol.

Tocantins Governor Election Winner

Vicentinho Júnior57%
Professora Dorinha40%

$28.2K Vol.

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

Flávio Bolsonaro18%
Romeu Zema<1%

$53.4K Vol.

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

0.0% to 0.2%26%
<-0.3%18%

$32.8K Vol.annual

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?

93%chance

$2.8K Vol.12 days left

Amazonas Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Aziz 6-10%33%
Aziz 10-15%32%

$5.7K Vol.

Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?

74%chance

$9.8K Vol.11 days left

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Douglas Ruas98%
Eduardo Paes<1%

$780.8K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Allyson 15%+26%
Allyson 3-6%22%

$7.7K Vol.

Acre Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Mailza 20%+42%
Mailza 10-15%27%

$3.7K Vol.

Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Celina 20-25%42%
Celina 10-15%32%

$3.0K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Sergipe

Lula97%
Flavio Bolsonaro3%

$4.9K Vol.

Peak Severe Drought in Minas Gerais during the Coffee Growing Season?

5% to 19.99%28%
20% to 39.99%28%

$14.9K Vol.

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49%46%
4.50-4.99%33%

$160.2K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

78-80%60%
80-82%20%

$10.2K Vol.

Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?

69%chance

$5.9K Vol.5 months left

Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner

Lorenzo Pazolini95%
Ricardo Ferraço5%

$50.0K Vol.

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

December 3153%
October 3130%

$31.2K Vol.

Tocantins Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Dorinha <4%35%
Vicentinho <4%27%

$2.2K Vol.

Espírito Santo Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Pazolini 20%+33%
Pazolini 15-20%24%

$3.9K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Norte

Lula98%
Flavio Bolsonaro3%

$5.8K Vol.

Acre Governor Election Winner

Mailza Assis99%
Alan Rick1%

$70.3K Vol.

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

<1%chance

$43.3K Vol.2 days left

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Paraíba

Lula98%
Flavio Bolsonaro2%

$3.2K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Alagoas

Lula97%
Flavio Bolsonaro3%

$10.3K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Bahia

Lula97%
Flavio Bolsonaro2%

$4.4K Vol.

Will USD/BRL hit __ in 2026?

↑5.7556%
↓4.554%

$1.7K Vol.

Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?

89%chance

$392.9 Vol.5 months left

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Tocantins

Flavio Bolsonaro98%
Lula2%

$3.6K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in São Paulo

Flavio Bolsonaro96%
Lula4%

$5.6K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Santa Catarina

Flavio Bolsonaro>99%
Lula<1%

$1.6K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Roraima

Flavio Bolsonaro99%
Lula<1%

$5.0K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rondônia

Flavio Bolsonaro>99%
Lula<1%

$2.8K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul

Flavio Bolsonaro98%
Lula<1%

$2.9K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro

Flavio Bolsonaro96%
Lula3%

$3.3K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Piauí

Lula96%
Flavio Bolsonaro3%

$1.9K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pernambuco

Lula98%
Flavio Bolsonaro2%

$1.3K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Paraná

Flavio Bolsonaro98%
Lula2%

$1.8K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul

Flavio Bolsonaro99%
Lula1%

$4.4K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso

Flavio Bolsonaro99%
Lula1%

$1.6K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Maranhão

Lula96%
Flavio Bolsonaro4%

$3.1K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Goiás

Flavio Bolsonaro99%
Lula1%

$1.3K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Federal District

Flavio Bolsonaro98%
Lula<1%

$7.9K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Espírito Santo

Flavio Bolsonaro97%
Lula<1%

$6.8K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Ceará

Lula97%
Flavio Bolsonaro3%

$696.1 Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Acre

Flavio Bolsonaro99%
Lula1%

$1.7K Vol.

Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31?

2%chance

$5.9K Vol.18 days left

Bank of Brazil decision in December?

25 bps decrease56%
50+ bps decrease27%

$24.0K Vol.annual

Will the TFFF reach $10 billion in 2026?

20%chance

$1.0K Vol.3 months left

Federal District Governor Election Winner

Celina Leão99%
Leandro Grass1%

$35.2K Vol.