US Election

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance47%
- Marco Rubio13%
$712.6M Vol.

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Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$18.3M Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep63%
R Senate, D House28%

$24.5M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party65%
Republican Party37%

$7.0M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
Gavin Newsom15%

$1.3B Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)38%

$4.0M Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)69%
Mike Rogers (R)33%

$1.8M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance21%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%

$717.0M Vol.

Next Press Secretary?

Scott Jennings18%
Anna Kelly12%

$89.6K Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%
Steve Hilton4%

$42.0M Vol.

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D)59%
Joe Lombardo (R)43%

$474.9K Vol.

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)93%
Andy Biggs (R)9%

$175.1K Vol.

NC-11 House Election Winner

Jamie Ager (D)86%
Jennifer Balkcom (R)14%

$56.0K Vol.

Idaho Senate Election Winner

Jim Risch (R)96%
Todd Achilles (I)4%

$172.3K Vol.

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

Chris Pappas (D)91%
John E. Sununu (R)11%

$362.0K Vol.

CA-06 House Election Winner

Democratic Party97%
Republican Party<1%

$90.4K Vol.

CA-04 House Election Winner

Democratic Party95%
Republican Party5%

$38.7K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)66%
Jon Husted (R)36%

$1.3M Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)41%

$2.3M Vol.

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)95%
John James (R)5%

$333.8K Vol.

WA-05 House Election Winner

$83.5K Vol.

KS-04 House Election Winner

Ron Estes (R)95%
Katy Tyndell (D)5%

$131.5K Vol.

AL-02 House Election Winner

Rhett Marques (R)71%
Shomari Figures (D)31%

$103.1K Vol.

OH-07 House Election Winner

Brian Poindexter (D)83%
Max Miller (R)17%

$109.2K Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)5%

$257.1K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$646.5K Vol.

FL-03 House Election Winner

Kat Cammack (R)95%
Seth Harp (D)4%

$57.7K Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.6M Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan26%

$1.4M Vol.

NH-02 House Election Winner

$51.7K Vol.

IA-04 House Election Winner

Chris McGowan (R)97%
David Dawson (D)2%

$64.6K Vol.

North Carolina Senate Election Winner

Roy Cooper (D)96%
Michael Whatley (R)4%

$231.8K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)59%
Josh Turek (D)42%

$904.2K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4740%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)89%
Zach Lahn (R)13%

$257.5K Vol.

South Carolina Governor Election Winner

$26.7K Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman53%
Karen Bass47%

$15.4M Vol.

NV-04 House Election Winner

$26.6K Vol.

ME-02 House Election Winner

Paul LePage (R)63%
Matthew Dunlap (D)39%

$37.2K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D) 96%
Mike Collins (R)4%

$242.7K Vol.

Alabama Governor Election Winner

Tommy Tuberville (R)96%
Doug Jones (D)4%

$47.9K Vol.

TN-04 House Election Winner

$133.5K Vol.

VA-01 House Election Winner

Shannon Taylor (D)55%
Rob Wittman (R)47%

$72.4K Vol.

NC-01 House Election Winner

Don Davis (D)71%
Laurie Buckhout (R)29%

$38.7K Vol.

FL-07 House Election Winner

Ryan Elijah (R)68%
Bale Dalton (D)32%

$34.4K Vol.

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D)94%
Gregg Hull (R)6%

$75.0K Vol.

Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?

5%chance

$11.2K Vol.16 days left

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez42%
Jon Ossoff28%

$82.1K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$805.1K Vol.

Minnesota Governor Election Winner

Amy Klobuchar (D)96%
Lisa Demuth (R)4%

$96.4K Vol.

VA-02 House Election Winner

Elaine Luria (D)88%
Jen Kiggans (R)13%

$54.8K Vol.

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R)96%
Maria Jukic (D)3%

$101.1K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election: Sedgwick County Winner

Roger Marshall (R)56%
Adam Hamilton (D)45%

$4.7K Vol.

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↑ 40%31%
↓ 30%24%

$89.6K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Winner

Ashley Moody (R)91%
Angie Nixon (D)10%

$232.3K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)87%
Michele Tafoya (R)14%

$276.2K Vol.

AZ-01 House Election Winner

Amish Shah (D)84%
Jay Feely (R)18%

$70.1K Vol.

Talarico Texas Senate odds hit __ by November 2?

↑ 70%33%
↑ 80%19%

$5.3K Vol.

Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?

6%chance

$8.3K Vol.16 days left

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)68%
Sam Forstag (D)34%

$92.5K Vol.

NH-01 House Election Winner

$52.4K Vol.

NY-22 House Election Winner

John Mannion (D)95%
Kailee Buller (R)5%

$33.2K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

James Talarico (D)95%
Ken Paxton (R)5%

$28.3K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)64%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$917.1K Vol.

Kentucky Governor Republican Primary Winner (2027)

James Comer61%
Thomas Massie14%

$2.8K Vol.

LA Mayoral Election: Margin of Victory?

Raman 0-4%24%
Bass 0-4%19%

$22.0K Vol.

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Democratic64%
Republican35%

$2.5M Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)77%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 24%

$577.6K Vol.

CT-05 House Election Winner

Jahana Hayes (D)96%
Chris Shea (R)3%

$11.7K Vol.

NV-01 House Election Winner

Dina Titus (D)96%
Carrie Buck (R)4%

$35.1K Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)72%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$440.6K Vol.

NV-03 House Election Winner

Susie Lee (D)94%
Martin O'Donnell (R)6%

$11.6K Vol.

AZ-02 House Election Winner

Eli Crane (R)75%
Jonathan Nez (D)24%

$17.9K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Iowa72%
Texas71%

$111.8K Vol.

Texas Senate favorite on November 2?

89%chance

$4.7K Vol.16 days left

Florida Governor Election Winner

Byron Donalds (R) 80%
David Jolly (D)21%

$299.0K Vol.

AR-02 House Election Winner

French Hill (R)83%
Chris Jones (D)18%

$41.8K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Oakland County Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)85%
Mike Rogers (R)9%

$4.1K Vol.

Ohio Senate favorite on November 2?

99%chance

$3.3K Vol.16 days left

Maine Governor Election Winner

$45.9K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Kansas28%
Iowa21%

$23.6K Vol.

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

205-20928%
Below 19024%

$334.3K Vol.

Senate Three-Way Combo: Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska

Reps sweep40%
Dems IA & KS, Ind NE18%

$3.4K Vol.

Democratic Senate odds on October 23?

62-64%37%
64-66%28%

$3.4K Vol.weekly

IN-05 House Election Winner

Victoria Spartz (R)80%
J. D. Ford (D)21%

$33.1K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner

Ken Paxton (R)53%
James Talarico (D)48%

$9.2K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Tennessee?

085%
114%

$3.0K Vol.

FL-26 House Election Winner

$85.6K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Winner

$95.5K Vol.

VA-05 House Election Winner

John McGuire (R)72%
Tom Perriello (D)30%

$128.8K Vol.

OH-13 House Election Winner

Emilia Sykes (D)95%
Carey Coleman (R)1%

$43.4K Vol.

VA-06 House Election Winner

Ben Cline (R)94%
Beth Macy (D)7%

$121.7K Vol.

FL-27 House Election Winner

$39.3K Vol.

2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

JD Vance80%
Other10%

$2.8K Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Winner

$204.0K Vol.

NY-01 House Election Winner

Nick LaLota (R)86%
Chris Gallant (D)13%

$52.5K Vol.

CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)

Ken Calvert56%
Young Kim44%

$17.2K Vol.

Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party71%
Republican Party21%

$10.6K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election: Leavenworth County Winner

Roger Marshall (R)78%
Adam Hamilton (D)22%

$986.0 Vol.

Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Michigan, Maine

Dems sweep47%
Reps sweep20%

$12.3K Vol.

TX-25 House Election Winner

Roger Williams (R)95%
Dione Sims (D)2%

$43.3K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)83%
Monica De La Cruz (R)18%

$66.4K Vol.

Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?

41%chance

$4.0K Vol.16 days left

CA-01 House Election Winner

$46.7K Vol.

$7.3K Vol.

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer56%
John Thune25%

$173.5K Vol.

Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026?

Democratic Party57%
Republican Party42%

$5.6K Vol.

Kansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

82%chance

$1.9K Vol.5 months left

Which Dems will underperform Kamala?

Tina Kotek: OR-Gov93%
Troy Jackson: ME-Sen79%

$13.7K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10%28%
Democrats 6-8%20%

$158.6K Vol.

NY-03 House Election Winner

Tom Suozzi (D)90%
Mike LiPetri (R)11%

$48.3K Vol.

AK-AL House Election Winner

Republican Party86%
Bill Hill14%

$61.9K Vol.

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 7%30%
↑ 12%14%

$187.0K Vol.

PA-01 House Election Winner

Brian Fitzpatrick (R)63%
Bob Harvie (D)39%

$39.2K Vol.

West Virginia Senate Election Winner

$17.5K Vol.

2027 Chicago Mayoral Election

Alexi Giannoulias69%
Brandon Johnson15%

$7.9K Vol.

NY-11 House Election Winner

$40.5K Vol.

Tennessee Governor Election Winner

$21.0K Vol.

2026 Williamson County Judge Election Winner

Heather Jefts69%
Steven Snell30%

$26.1K Vol.

TX-33 House Election Winner

$17.6K Vol.

SC-07 House Election Winner

Russell Fry (R)96%
John Vincent (D)5%

$56.4K Vol.

Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?

8%chance

$7.4K Vol.16 days left

Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?

93%chance

$3.2K Vol.16 days left

WI-07 House Election Winner

Michael Alfonso (R)95%
Fred Clark (D)4%

$78.1K Vol.

PA-07 House Election Winner

Bob Brooks (D)87%
Ryan Mackenzie (R)14%

$35.4K Vol.

Alaska Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep73%
Reps sweep14%

$62.4K Vol.

ID-02 House Election Winner

$39.6K Vol.

Ohio Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep62%
Reps sweep23%

$16.8K Vol.

2026 Collin County Judge Election Winner

Chris Hill85%
John R. "Buster" Brown12%

$26.2K Vol.

TX-31 House Election Winner

John Carter (R)95%
Justin Early (D)5%

$60.8K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Alabama?

171%
230%

$9.0K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

1%chance

$229.0K Vol.17 days left

TX-12 House Election Winner

$58.2K Vol.

St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner

Charlie Crist90%
Ken Welch7%

$60.8K Vol.

New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner

Bruce Blakeman (R)66%
Kathy Hochul (D)32%

$28.9K Vol.

Oklahoma Senate Election Winner

$27.0K Vol.

TN-07 House Election Winner

$43.6K Vol.

Montana Senate Election Winner

Kurt Alme (R) 92%
Independent9%

$180.9K Vol.

WA-06 House Election Winner

Emily Randall (D)99%
Teresa Fox (R)1%

$45.4K Vol.

Louisiana Senate Election Winner

Julia Letlow (R)93%
Jamie Davis (D)8%

$49.9K Vol.

AR-03 House Election Winner

Steve Womack (R)95%
Robb Ryerse (D)4%

$32.5K Vol.

PA-17 House Election Winner

Chris Deluzio (D)96%
Tony Guy (R)2%

$31.1K Vol.

GA-07 House Election Winner

Rich McCormick (R)93%
Tony Kozycki (D)8%

$43.9K Vol.

2026 El Paso County Judge Election Winner

$32.9K Vol.

2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff Election Winner

Robert Luna97%
Alex Villanueva2%

$24.6K Vol.

Republican VP Nominee 2028

Marco Rubio28%
Greg Abbott6%

$53.3K Vol.

Will Republicans win any Senate or Governor's Election in a Biden-Trump state?

70%chance

$9.8K Vol.17 days left

CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)

Angela Gonzales-Torres80%
Jimmy Gomez19%

$33.3K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?

1324%
1223%

$18.5K Vol.

NJ-07 House Election Winner

$49.3K Vol.

Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?

24%chance

$5.4K Vol.16 days left

South Dakota Senate Election Winner

Mike Rounds (R)92%
Brian Bengs (I)7%

$62.3K Vol.

Oregon Governor Election Winner

Tina Kotek (D)76%
Christine Drazan (R)24%

$94.1K Vol.

2026 Louisville Mayoral Election Winner

$8.2K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?

717%
12+14%

$13.8K Vol.

SC-01 House Election Winner

$84.6K Vol.

Nebraska Governor Election Winner

Jim Pillen (R)90%
Lynne Walz (D)10%

$24.5K Vol.

Senate Three-Way Combo: Texas, Kansas, Nebraska

Reps sweep33%
Dems TX, Reps KS & NE31%

$2.3K Vol.

OH-10 House Election Winner

$51.5K Vol.

Texas Senate and Governor Combo

Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate43%
Reps sweep38%

$19.1K Vol.

Senate Three-Way Combo: Ohio, Iowa, Maine

Dems sweep30%
Dems OH & ME, Reps IA19%

$22.3K Vol.

Democratic VP Nominee 2028

$113.5K Vol.

AZ-07 House Election Winner

Adelita Grijalva (D)97%
Daniel Butierez (R)<1%

$39.8K Vol.

Minnesota Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep84%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate13%

$21.9K Vol.

Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?

47%chance

$2.2K Vol.17 days left

TX-14 House Election Winner

Randy Weber (R)96%
Thurman Bartie (D)3%

$31.9K Vol.

PA-08 House Election Winner

Paige Cognetti (D)72%
Rob Bresnahan (R)28%

$20.9K Vol.

Oakland Mayoral Election

Barbara Lee92%
Brenda Grisham6%

$2.2K Vol.

NV-02 House Election Winner

$41.9K Vol.

CA-24 House Election Winner

Salud Carbajal (D)97%
Bob Smith (R)2%

$52.3K Vol.

Closer Senate Race: Alaska or Texas?

41%chance

$1.6K Vol.17 days left

FL-11 House Election Winner

Joe Strada (R)91%
James Pericola (D)8%

$32.5K Vol.

IN-04 House Election Winner

Jim Baird (R)95%
Drew Cox (D)6%

$42.2K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)91%
Scott Colom (D)10%

$170.7K Vol.

CA-22 House Election Winner

Randy Villegas (D)92%
David Valadao (R)10%

$27.9K Vol.

Iowa Senate and Governor Combo

Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate43%
Dems sweep42%

$28.7K Vol.

CO-04 House Election Winner

Lauren Boebert (R)72%
Eileen Laubacher (D)28%

$48.7K Vol.

LA-05 Republican Primary Winner

Michael Echols8%
Misti Cordell3%

$67.3K Vol.

CA-23 House Election Winner

$102.4K Vol.

NY-14 House Election Winner

$60.8K Vol.

WI-01 House Election Winner

Bryan Steil (R)62%
Mitchell Berman (D)38%

$18.6K Vol.

Kansas Governor Election Winner

Ty Masterson (R)76%
Cindy Holscher (D)24%

$65.2K Vol.

GA-10 House Election Winner

Houston Gaines (R)96%
Pam Delancy (D)2%

$67.4K Vol.

IA-01 House Election Winner

$45.2K Vol.

UT-02 House Election Winner

Blake Moore (R)93%
Peter Crosby (D)7%

$32.1K Vol.

IA-02 House Election Winner

Lindsay James (D)61%
Joe Mitchell (R)41%

$31.9K Vol.

California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition

33%chance

$1.9K Vol.17 days left

Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?

70%chance

$599.6 Vol.17 days left

FL-05 House Election Winner

$17.7K Vol.

Blue tsunami in 2026?

50%chance

$54.7K Vol.2 months left

NY-21 House Election Winner

$97.6K Vol.

Closer Governor Race: New York or Pennsylvania?

83%chance

$256.5 Vol.17 days left

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

≤46 and ≤19231%
47–49 and 193–20726%

$78.6K Vol.

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

David Crowley (D)81%
Tom Tiffany (R)20%

$724.4K Vol.

New Jersey Senate Election Winner

Cory Booker (D)97%
Justin Murphy (R)3%

$23.2K Vol.

FL-02 House Election Winner

Austin Rogers (R)94%
Amanda Green (D)7%

$17.0K Vol.

Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?

40%chance

$2.6K Vol.17 days left

CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)

Sydney Kamlager-Dove94%
Samantha Mota4%

$44.0K Vol.

NY-02 House Election Winner

Andrew Garbarino (R)85%
Patrick Halpin (D)14%

$19.5K Vol.

Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?

14%chance

$6.2K Vol.16 days left

Michigan Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep68%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate27%

$20.0K Vol.

Arizona passes drug cartel ballot measure?

70%chance

$926.4 Vol.17 days left

TX-17 House Election Winner

Pete Sessions (R)96%
Casey Shepard (D)4%

$52.6K Vol.

IN-03 House Election Winner

$42.1K Vol.

FL-13 House Election Winner

Anna Paulina Luna (R)75%
Leela Gray (D)26%

$13.8K Vol.

TX-04 House Election Winner

Pat Fallon (R)96%
Jason Pearce (D)<1%

$79.5K Vol.

TX-35 House Election Winner

Johnny Garcia (D)59%
Carlos De La Cruz (R)41%

$53.4K Vol.

CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)

Aisha Wahab89%
Melissa Hernandez10%

$30.8K Vol.

FL-15 House Election Winner

Laurel Lee (R)96%
Robert People (D)4%

$35.2K Vol.

TN-06 House Election Winner

Johnny Garrett (R)95%
Mike Croley (D)5%

$22.6K Vol.

FL-17 House Election Winner

$32.8K Vol.

CA-09 House Election Winner

Josh Harder (D)97%
John McBride (R)2%

$24.4K Vol.

CA-10 House Election Winner

Mark DeSaulnier (D)96%
Jeff Frese (R)3%

$27.2K Vol.

IN-01 House Election Winner

Frank Mrvan (D)96%
Barb Regnitz (R)1%

$24.2K Vol.

Arkansas Senate Election Winner

Tom Cotton (R) 95%
Hallie Shoffner (D)6%

$39.5K Vol.

Tallahassee Mayoral Election Winner

Loranne Ausley54%
Jeremy Matlow45%

$146.1K Vol.

OH-01 House Election Winner

Greg Landsman (D)94%
Eric Conroy (R)7%

$52.3K Vol.

FL-14 House Election Winner

Kathy Castor (D)70%
Mike Beltran (R)31%

$69.0K Vol.

Kansas Senate and Governor Combo

Reps sweep56%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate24%

$20.6K Vol.

Arizona Governor Election: Maricopa County Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)89%
Andy Biggs (R)11%

$4.7K Vol.

South Carolina Presidential Democratic Primary Winner

Kamala Harris28%
Jon Ossoff18%

$23.0K Vol.

CA-30 House Election Winner

Laura Friedman (D)96%
Scott Meyers (R)3%

$35.4K Vol.

NJ-02 House Election Winner

Jeff Van Drew (R)84%
Zack Mullock (D)16%

$38.7K Vol.

IL-16 House Election Winner

Darin LaHood (R)96%
Paul Nolley (D)4%

$69.1K Vol.

Oklahoma Governor Election Winner

Mike Mazzei (R)90%
Cyndi Munson (D)10%

$44.7K Vol.

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Texas25%
Michigan22%

$10.7K Vol.

Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?

28%chance

$7.5K Vol.17 days left

CA-18 House Election Winner

Zoe Lofgren (D)98%
Shane Lewis (R)2%

$50.0K Vol.

FL-25 House Election Winner

Jared Moskowitz (D)81%
Scott Singer (R)19%

$36.6K Vol.

MO-02 House Election Winner

Ann Wagner (R)78%
Fred Wellman (D)23%

$66.2K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

115-120m31%
110-115m20%

$36.8K Vol.

California Tax Spend Audit Proposition

73%chance

$1.5K Vol.17 days left

Blue wave in 2026?

84%chance

$84.2K Vol.2 months left

TX-32 House Election Winner

Jace Yarbrough (R)86%
Dan Barrios (D)14%

$47.5K Vol.

Georgia Senate and Governor Combo

Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate51%
Dems sweep49%

$15.6K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)96%
John Nagel (R)4%

$73.5K Vol.

OH-15 House Election Winner

Mike Carey (R)73%
Don Leonard (D)26%

$16.6K Vol.

FL-22 House Election Winner

Pia Dandiya (D)54%
Casey Askar (R)47%

$55.3K Vol.

California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition

68%chance

$3.2K Vol.17 days left

CA-16 House Election Winner

Sam Liccardo (D)97%
Peter Soulé (R)2%

$107.8K Vol.

TX-34 House Election Winner

Vicente Gonzalez (D)83%
Eric Flores (R)17%

$11.9K Vol.

California Retroactive Tax Prohibition Proposition

63%chance

$58.0 Vol.17 days left

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner

$112.6K Vol.

Kentucky Governor Election Winner (2027)

Republican80%
Democrat17%

$2.6K Vol.

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R)95%
Colby Watson (D)4%

$57.5K Vol.

PA-16 House Election Winner

Mike Kelly (R)96%
Justin Wagner (D)4%

$75.6K Vol.

Closer Governor Race: Pennsylvania or Illinois?

31%chance

$105.3 Vol.17 days left

Senate control favorite on November 2?

97%chance

$17.3K Vol.16 days left

Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?

12%chance

$2.7K Vol.2 months left

Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

JD Vance97%
Marco Rubio2%

$8.1K Vol.

NM-03 House Election Winner

$53.8K Vol.

CO-03 House Election Winner

Jeff Hurd (R)73%
Dwayne Romero (D)28%

$22.5K Vol.

PA-11 House Election Winner

Lloyd Smucker (R)95%
Nancy Mannion (D)5%

$57.5K Vol.

TX-28 House Election Winner

Henry Cuellar (D)92%
Tano Tijerina (R)8%

$13.4K Vol.

CA-43 House Election Winner

$32.9K Vol.

CA-26 House Election Winner

Jacqui Irwin (D)96%
Sam Gallucci (R)4%

$36.5K Vol.

CA-19 House Election Winner

$50.2K Vol.

Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

Ashley Moody (R)65%
Angie Nixon (D)36%

$11.6K Vol.

Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?

59%chance

$2.6K Vol.17 days left

PA-14 House Election Winner

$41.9K Vol.

TN-08 House Election Winner

David Kustoff (R)97%
Heidi Kuhn (D)2%

$50.3K Vol.

NE-01 House Election Winner

Mike Flood (R)83%
Chris Backemeyer (D)15%

$46.7K Vol.

FL-18 House Election Winner

$69.2K Vol.

CA-08 House Election Winner

John Garamendi (D)96%
Rudy Recile (R)4%

$57.3K Vol.

Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?

40%chance

$2.1K Vol.17 days left

Rogers flips El-Sayed for Michigan Senate by November 2?

13%chance

$774.4 Vol.16 days left

League City, Texas passes ballot measure approving the police use of Flock Cameras?

66%chance

$493.4 Vol.17 days left

California Recall Election Reform Proposition

31%chance

$603.7 Vol.17 days left

Will the next elected US president be a woman?

23%chance

$15.5K Vol.2 years left

VA-04 House Election Winner

$42.5K Vol.

Arkansas Governor Election Winner

$11.2K Vol.

WA-01 House Election Winner

Suzan DelBene (D)98%
Mary Silva (R)2%

$46.5K Vol.

CA-51 House Election Winner

Sara Jacobs (D)98%
Ricardo Cabrera (R)2%

$34.4K Vol.

California wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?

14%chance

$1.3K Vol.17 days left

TX-07 House Election Winner

$30.7K Vol.

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

10-1293%
13-156%

$64.0K Vol.

Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas?

68%chance

$888.9 Vol.17 days left

TX-19 House Election Winner

Tom Sell (R)98%
Kyle Rable (D)<1%

$31.3K Vol.

TX-10 House Election Winner

Chris Gober (R)91%
Caitlin Rourk (D)8%

$37.0K Vol.

FL-06 House Election Winner

Randy Fine (R)96%
Eric Yonce (D)1%

$37.4K Vol.

Illinois Senate Election Winner

Juliana Stratton (D)98%
Don Tracy (R)1%

$36.3K Vol.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$361.0K Vol.

Colorado passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

63%chance

$2.3K Vol.17 days left

IL-05 House Election Winner

Mike Quigley (D)97%
Tommy Hanson (R)2%

$35.4K Vol.

NY-23 House Election Winner

Nick Langworthy (R)97%
Aaron Gies (D)2%

$88.1K Vol.

AZ-09 House Election Winner

Paul Gosar (R)95%
Dani Sterbinsky (D)4%

$36.6K Vol.

RI-02 House Election Winner

$50.9K Vol.

SD-AL House Election Winner

Marty Jackley (R)95%
Nikki Gronli (D)4%

$37.4K Vol.

CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)

Mike Thompson81%
Eric Jones18%

$15.3K Vol.

GA-14 House Election Winner

Clay Fuller (R)95%
Shawn Harris (D)5%

$19.4K Vol.

KY-06 House Election Winner

Ralph Alvarado (R)66%
Zach Dembo (D)35%

$59.1K Vol.

How many Independents will be elected to Congress?

059%
135%

$9.2K Vol.

Closer Governor Race: Georgia or Wisconsin?

75%chance

$20.0 Vol.17 days left

Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?

80%chance

$1.5K Vol.17 days left

OK-01 House Election Winner

Mark Tedford (R)98%
John Croisant (D)2%

$43.9K Vol.

MN-01 House Election Winner

Brad Finstad (R)75%
Jake Johnson (D)26%

$56.1K Vol.

CA-28 House Election Winner

Judy Chu (D)98%
April Verlato (R)2%

$142.2K Vol.

CO-08 House Election Winner

Manny Rutinel (D)84%
Gabe Evans (R)16%

$25.2K Vol.

South Dakota passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

91%chance

$2.1K Vol.17 days left

Nevada Governor Election: Clark County Winner

Aaron Ford (D)84%
Joe Lombardo (R)14%

$6.6K Vol.

Closer Senate Race: South Dakota or New Mexico?

85%chance

$630.9 Vol.17 days left

ME-01 House Election Winner

$47.8K Vol.

NM-02 House Election Winner

$74.0K Vol.

Who will John Cornyn endorse in the Texas Senate Election?

Nobody83%
Ken Paxton10%

$6.6K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Minnesota?

469%
522%

$17.3K Vol.

FL-16 House Election Winner

Sydney Gruters (R)82%
Kelly Kirschner (D)18%

$27.4K Vol.

New Hampshire Senate and Governor Combo

Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate83%
Reps sweep11%

$10.3K Vol.

Will the 2028 Democratic Presidential nominee be a woman?

31%chance

$4.9K Vol.2 years left

Massachusetts Senate Election Winner

Ed Markey (D)98%
John Deaton (R)2%

$50.5K Vol.

WY-AL House Election Winner

Chuck Gray (R)95%
Lisa Kinney (D)4%

$51.1K Vol.

California Affordable Housing Bond Proposition

73%chance

$2.6K Vol.17 days left

KY-02 House Election Winner

$18.6K Vol.

CA-12 House Election Winner

Democratic Party98%
Republican Party1%

$44.8K Vol.

CA-03 House Election Winner

Ami Bera (D)96%
Robb Tucker (R)4%

$44.2K Vol.

NJ-08 House Election Winner

Rob Menendez (D)96%
Republican Party2%

$49.3K Vol.

What will Idaho voters choose as their state gun?

Winchester Model 187357%
Colt Peacemaker18%

$11.1K Vol.

CA-41 House Election Winner

$23.0K Vol.

California Public Campaign Financing Proposition

33%chance

$15.0 Vol.17 days left

RI-01 House Election Winner

Gabe Amo (D)>99%
Kellie Keenan (R)<1%

$46.2K Vol.

OR-02 House Election Winner

Cliff Bentz (R)95%
Chris Beck (D)5%

$21.4K Vol.

MA-02 House Election Winner

Jim McGovern (D)95%
Republican Party4%

$74.9K Vol.

FL-19 House Election Winner

Jim Schwartzel (R)95%
Victor Arias (D)6%

$33.7K Vol.

CA-29 House Election Winner

Democratic Party97%
Republican Party3%

$30.9K Vol.

CA-14 House Election Winner

Democratic Party>99%
Republican Party<1%

$43.2K Vol.

OR-05 House Election Winner

Janelle Bynum (D)96%
Patti Adair (R)4%

$34.3K Vol.

NE-02 House Election Winner

$65.3K Vol.

Hawaii Governor Election Winner

Josh Green (D)99%
Gary Cordery (R)1%

$17.2K Vol.

Connecticut Governor Election Winner

Ned Lamont (D)96%
Ryan Fazio (R)4%

$9.6K Vol.

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

Doris Matsui61%
Mai Vang37%

$28.1K Vol.

TX-38 House Election Winner

Jon Bonck (R)96%
Melissa McDonough (D)4%

$31.9K Vol.

GA-09 House Election Winner

Andrew Clyde (R)97%
Caitlyn Gegen (D)3%

$60.1K Vol.

OH-06 House Election Winner

$82.8K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Nevada?

371%
425%

$20.6K Vol.

MN-06 House Election Winner

Tom Emmer (R)95%
Doug Chapin (D)2%

$98.2K Vol.

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

22–2331%
24–2528%

$705.7K Vol.

Will Florida's "Save Our Homes from Excessive Property Taxes" referendum pass in November 2026?

40%chance

$2.4K Vol.17 days left

TX-27 House Election Winner

Michael Cloud (R)95%
Tanya Lloyd (D)5%

$50.1K Vol.

California Governor Election: Fresno County Winner

Steve Hilton67%
Xavier Becerra33%

$12.2K Vol.

TX-24 House Election Winner

Beth Van Duyne (R)92%
Kevin Burge (D)9%

$70.2K Vol.

Alaska passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

87%chance

$1.7K Vol.5 months left

TX-13 House Election Winner

Ronny Jackson (R)97%
Mark Nair (D)3%

$19.3K Vol.

NY-16 House Election Winner

$41.7K Vol.

ND-AL House Election Winner

$61.0K Vol.

MT-02 House Election Winner

Troy Downing (R)98%
Brian Miller (D)<1%

$68.9K Vol.

MD-02 House Election Winner

$24.7K Vol.

CA-49 House Election Winner

Mike Levin (D)96%
Armen Kurdian (R)3%

$28.6K Vol.

CA-42 House Election Winner

Robert Garcia (D)96%
Brian Burley (R)3%

$43.0K Vol.

FL-23 House Election Winner

Lois Frankel (D)96%
Deborah Adeimy (R)4%

$27.0K Vol.

2026 North Las Vegas Mayoral Election Winner

Daniele Monroe-Moreno81%
Scott Black14%

$7.1K Vol.

AZ-05 House Election Winner

Mark Lamb (R)90%
Elizabeth Lee (D)12%

$42.3K Vol.

MI-07 House Election Winner

William Lawrence (D)63%
Tom Barrett (R)36%

$38.3K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

1140%
1028%

$24.2K Vol.

NC-04 House Election Winner

$84.1K Vol.

Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?

Republican Party91%
Democratic Party5%

$3.7K Vol.

NY-18 House Election Winner

$44.9K Vol.

CA-39 House Election Winner

Mark Takano (D)96%
Steve Manos (R)2%

$58.9K Vol.

TN-01 House Election Winner

$27.4K Vol.

NC-05 House Election Winner

Virginia Foxx (R)87%
Chuck Hubbard (D)11%

$46.0K Vol.

Colorado Senate Election Winner

$51.5K Vol.

OH-08 House Election Winner

$18.3K Vol.

OR-04 House Election Winner

Val Hoyle (D)95%
Monique DeSpain (R)5%

$35.5K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R)76%
Amanda Janoo (D)25%

$238.8K Vol.

AZ-08 House Election Winner

$16.3K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Collin County Winner

James Talarico (D)69%
Ken Paxton (R)26%

$10.0K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)67%
Jon Husted (R)33%

$8.3K Vol.

NM-01 House Election Winner

$45.4K Vol.

NC-13 House Election Winner

Brad Knott (R)88%
Paul Barringer (D)12%

$10.0K Vol.

CA-27 House Election Winner

$22.9K Vol.

Kentucky Governor Democratic Primary Winner (2027)

Jacqueline Coleman49%
Rocky Adkins44%

$0.0 Vol.

Closer Governor Race: California or New York?

42%chance

$163.0 Vol.17 days left

Closer Senate Race: Iowa or Maine?

62%chance

$0.0 Vol.17 days left

West Virginia passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

92%chance

$1.3K Vol.17 days left

Arkansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

93%chance

$344.7 Vol.5 months left

Arizona passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

60%chance

$3.9K Vol.5 months left

Closer Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?

41%chance

$255.3 Vol.17 days left

Closer Senate Race: Kansas or Nebraska?

59%chance

$284.2 Vol.17 days left

Closer Senate Race: Nebraska or Texas?

37%chance

$525.0 Vol.17 days left

Closer Senate Race: Florida or South Carolina?

41%chance

$704.5 Vol.17 days left

Closer Senate Race: Georgia or Kansas?

13%chance

$1.7K Vol.17 days left

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune47%
Chuck Schumer38%

$11.5K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Grand Traverse County Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)57%
Mike Rogers (R)38%

$5.2K Vol.

Rubio flips Vance for GOP nomination by October 31?

2%chance

$6.6K Vol.14 days left

House control favorite on November 2?

98%chance

$3.0K Vol.16 days left

Washington voters repeal millionaires tax?

21%chance

$165.6 Vol.17 days left

Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee?

45-5451%
Under 4539%

$4.0K Vol.

Which party will win the Wisconsin State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party82%
Republican Party16%

$3.9K Vol.

Which party will win the Minnesota State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party88%
Republican Party13%

$8.0K Vol.

Which party will win the Maine State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party92%
Republican Party7%

$5.1K Vol.

North Carolina Supreme Court Election Winner

Anita Earls (D)81%
Sarah Stevens (R)20%

$2.4K Vol.

Florida Senate Election: Broward County Winner

Angie Nixon (D)99%
Ashley Moody (R)1%

$8.2K Vol.

Nevada Governor Election: Washoe County Winner

Aaron Ford (D)64%
Joe Lombardo (R)38%

$4.9K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Kent County Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)84%
Mike Rogers (R)14%

$2.9K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Genesee County Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)85%
Mike Rogers (R)11%

$3.3K Vol.

Arizona passes traffic camera ballot measure?

81%chance

$982.5 Vol.17 days left

Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting?

37%chance

$693.3 Vol.17 days left

US Election

Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?

Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?

Texas Senate favorite on November 2?

Ohio Senate favorite on November 2?

Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?

Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

Kansas passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting?

Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?

Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?