Trump

Fed Decision in October?
- No change81%
- 25 bps increase20%
$33.6M Vol.monthly

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US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 1597%
October 3181%

$11.5M Vol.monthly

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 1596%
October 3181%

$1.2M Vol.

$39.4M Vol.

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3124%
October 316%

$8.9M Vol.

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

33%chance

$546.2K Vol.9 months left

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

6%chance

$24.0M Vol.2 months left

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase76%
No change23%

$3.0M Vol.monthly

US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

22%chance

$176.8K Vol.18 days left

Fed Decision in January?

No change65%
25 bps increase33%

$345.7K Vol.monthly

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 202767%
November 30, 202767%

$8.5M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 3113%
October 313%

$2.3M Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?

Data Center32%
Muscle / Muscular25%

$33.5K Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?

100-11947%
120-13938%

$67.2K Vol.daily

Ilhan Omar federally charged by...?

December 3114%
October 3113%

$23.5K Vol.

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

December 3136%
November 3028%

$3.0M Vol.

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

3%chance

$10.9M Vol.2 months left

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro71%
Delcy Rodríguez25%

$98.2M Vol.

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M74%
270M9%

$30.9K Vol.monthly

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 202646%
November 30, 202630%

$690.2K Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?

200+26%
140-15925%

$34.0K Vol.daily

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin79%
Mohammed bin Salman74%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 3153%
Qatar19%

$154.5K Vol.

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3119%

$1.8M Vol.

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?

December 3178%
October 3170%

$68.0K Vol.

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

10%chance

$63.3K Vol.2 months left

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Abbas Araghchi43%
Jared Kushner42%

$1.3M Vol.

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 3134%
November 3024%

$1.8M Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

77%chance

$162.3K Vol.21 days left

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Alaska?

Save America Act94%
Healthcare92%

$6.9K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.1M Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

200+19%
140-15916%

$17.5K Vol.daily

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US1%

$3.7M Vol.

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

December 3136%
October 3110%

$6.6M Vol.

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Barack Obama97%
Jon Ossoff96%

$108.8K Vol.monthly

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19023%
205-20919%

$324.9K Vol.