All markets
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?
View all outcomes in this event68%chance
- Yes67.8%
Outcomes
- Yes68%
67.8¢ per share
- No32%
32.1¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 67.8¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8¢ | 556 | $376.97 |
| 67.3¢ | 100 | $67.30 |
| 66.8¢ | 165 | $110.22 |
| 66.1¢ | 50 | $33.05 |
| 65.9¢ | 50 | $32.95 |
| 65.8¢ | 286 | $188.19 |
| 64.4¢ | 200 | $128.80 |
| 62¢ | 51 | $31.62 |
| 60.3¢ | 19 | $11.46 |
| 59.4¢ | 10.81 | $6.42 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9¢ | 406 | $275.67 |
| 68¢ | 361.45 | $245.79 |
| 68.4¢ | 100 | $68.40 |
| 68.9¢ | 108 | $74.41 |
| 69.4¢ | 67 | $46.50 |
| 69.9¢ | 245 | $171.26 |
| 70¢ | 50 | $35.00 |
| 72.3¢ | 50 | $36.15 |
| 72.6¢ | 20.28 | $14.72 |
| 73.9¢ | 85 | $62.82 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.