All markets
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027?
View all outcomes in this event4%chance
- Yes3.7%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
3.7¢ per share
- No96%
96.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.7¢Spread 0.4¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5¢ | 5 | $0.18 |
| 3.4¢ | 20.06 | $0.68 |
| 3.3¢ | 6.81 | $0.22 |
| 3.2¢ | 14.54 | $0.47 |
| 2.8¢ | 179 | $5.01 |
| 2.7¢ | 1,520 | $41.04 |
| 2.5¢ | 590 | $14.75 |
| 2.2¢ | 20 | $0.44 |
| 2.1¢ | 239 | $5.02 |
| 2¢ | 318.15 | $6.36 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.9¢ | 875.14 | $34.13 |
| 4¢ | 1,326.15 | $53.05 |
| 4.1¢ | 6.69 | $0.27 |
| 4.2¢ | 152.09 | $6.39 |
| 4.4¢ | 73.4 | $3.23 |
| 4.6¢ | 500 | $23.00 |
| 4.8¢ | 500 | $24.00 |
| 4.9¢ | 310 | $15.19 |
| 5¢ | 1,080 | $54.00 |
| 5.4¢ | 1,057.08 | $57.08 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.