All markets
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
View all outcomes in this event3%chance
- Yes3%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
3.0¢ per share
- No97%
97.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3¢Spread 0.5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.8¢ | 1,390.46 | $38.93 |
| 2.7¢ | 4,661.92 | $125.87 |
| 2.5¢ | 45.1 | $1.13 |
| 2.4¢ | 20 | $0.48 |
| 2.3¢ | 333.9 | $7.68 |
| 2.2¢ | 185.17 | $4.07 |
| 2.1¢ | 2,542 | $53.38 |
| 2¢ | 3,378.1 | $67.56 |
| 1.9¢ | 2,682.59 | $50.97 |
| 1.8¢ | 11,755.89 | $211.61 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.3¢ | 40 | $1.32 |
| 3.4¢ | 549.32 | $18.68 |
| 3.5¢ | 1,000 | $35.00 |
| 3.6¢ | 20 | $0.72 |
| 3.7¢ | 1,884.32 | $69.72 |
| 4¢ | 4,170.06 | $166.80 |
| 4.2¢ | 2,000 | $84.00 |
| 4.3¢ | 807.97 | $34.74 |
| 4.5¢ | 5 | $0.22 |
| 4.8¢ | 1,692.24 | $81.23 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.