All markets
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
View all outcomes in this event2%chance
- Yes2.3%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
2.3¢ per share
- No98%
97.8¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 2.3¢Spread 0.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9¢ | 167.67 | $3.19 |
| 1¢ | 100 | $1.00 |
| 0.9¢ | 2,894.71 | $26.05 |
| 0.8¢ | 3,925 | $31.40 |
| 0.7¢ | 4,461.25 | $31.23 |
| 0.6¢ | 5,074.52 | $30.45 |
| 0.5¢ | 7,552.41 | $37.76 |
| 0.4¢ | 17,187.5 | $68.75 |
| 0.3¢ | 24,702.38 | $74.11 |
| 0.2¢ | 41,346.34 | $82.69 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.6¢ | 391.01 | $10.17 |
| 2.7¢ | 171.52 | $4.63 |
| 2.8¢ | 30 | $0.84 |
| 3.4¢ | 243.45 | $8.28 |
| 3.6¢ | 243.45 | $8.76 |
| 3.7¢ | 200 | $7.40 |
| 3.8¢ | 438.18 | $16.65 |
| 3.9¢ | 260 | $10.14 |
| 4¢ | 564.48 | $22.58 |
| 4.4¢ | 299.94 | $13.20 |
Rules
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.