All markets
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
View all outcomes in this event11%chance
- Yes10.5%
Outcomes
- Yes11%
10.5¢ per share
- No90%
89.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 10.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 10¢ | 14,968.43 | $1,496.84 |
| 9¢ | 19,578.94 | $1,762.10 |
| 8¢ | 38,921.89 | $3,113.75 |
| 7¢ | 17,097.27 | $1,196.81 |
| 6¢ | 25,175.27 | $1,510.52 |
| 5¢ | 18,870.64 | $943.53 |
| 4¢ | 25,915.5 | $1,036.62 |
| 3¢ | 37,342.11 | $1,120.26 |
| 2¢ | 82,697.42 | $1,653.95 |
| 1¢ | 2,351,810.91 | $23,518.11 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 11¢ | 9,628.09 | $1,059.09 |
| 12¢ | 28,754.08 | $3,450.49 |
| 13¢ | 33,463.7 | $4,350.28 |
| 14¢ | 6,302.5 | $882.35 |
| 15¢ | 3,776.86 | $566.53 |
| 16¢ | 2,342.71 | $374.83 |
| 17¢ | 5,051.6 | $858.77 |
| 18¢ | 11,613.44 | $2,090.42 |
| 19¢ | 13,142.23 | $2,497.02 |
| 20¢ | 2,724.99 | $545.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.