All markets
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
View all outcomes in this event6%chance
- Yes5.5%
Outcomes
- Yes6%
5.5¢ per share
- No95%
94.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 5.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5¢ | 5,001.38 | $250.07 |
| 4¢ | 7,886.26 | $315.45 |
| 3¢ | 24,278.96 | $728.37 |
| 2¢ | 15,398.03 | $307.96 |
| 1¢ | 20,813.29 | $208.13 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6¢ | 7,296.01 | $437.76 |
| 7¢ | 8,736.47 | $611.55 |
| 8¢ | 9,897.51 | $791.80 |
| 9¢ | 4,266.26 | $383.96 |
| 10¢ | 551.27 | $55.13 |
| 11¢ | 125.59 | $13.81 |
| 12¢ | 2,000 | $240.00 |
| 13¢ | 100 | $13.00 |
| 14¢ | 1,310.02 | $183.40 |
| 15¢ | 3,603.63 | $540.54 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.