All markets
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
View all outcomes in this event<1%chance
- Yes0.4%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.4¢ per share
- No>99%
99.7¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.4¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3¢ | 13.47 | $0.04 |
| 0.2¢ | 2,845.86 | $5.69 |
| 0.1¢ | 11,815.1 | $11.82 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4¢ | 404.11 | $1.62 |
| 0.5¢ | 147.97 | $0.74 |
| 0.6¢ | 10 | $0.06 |
| 0.7¢ | 54.02 | $0.38 |
| 0.8¢ | 74 | $0.59 |
| 0.9¢ | 45 | $0.40 |
| 1¢ | 470.53 | $4.71 |
| 1.1¢ | 6.09 | $0.07 |
| 1.2¢ | 1,961.12 | $23.53 |
| 1.4¢ | 554.17 | $7.76 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.