All markets
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
View all outcomes in this event<1%chance
- Yes0.9%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.9¢ per share
- No>99%
99.2¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.9¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8¢ | 130 | $1.04 |
| 0.7¢ | 5.1 | $0.04 |
| 0.6¢ | 105.1 | $0.63 |
| 0.5¢ | 705.1 | $3.53 |
| 0.4¢ | 355.1 | $1.42 |
| 0.3¢ | 673.1 | $2.02 |
| 0.2¢ | 918.1 | $1.84 |
| 0.1¢ | 28,940.76 | $28.94 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9¢ | 164.21 | $1.48 |
| 1¢ | 100.07 | $1.00 |
| 1.1¢ | 100 | $1.10 |
| 1.2¢ | 14 | $0.17 |
| 1.3¢ | 23.82 | $0.31 |
| 1.4¢ | 5 | $0.07 |
| 1.5¢ | 110.81 | $1.66 |
| 1.6¢ | 242.65 | $3.88 |
| 1.7¢ | 5.9 | $0.10 |
| 1.8¢ | 72.87 | $1.31 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.