All markets
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
View all outcomes in this event2%chance
- Yes1.7%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
1.7¢ per share
- No98%
98.4¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.7¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.6¢ | 10.1 | $0.16 |
| 1.4¢ | 5.1 | $0.07 |
| 1.2¢ | 105.1 | $1.26 |
| 1.1¢ | 100 | $1.10 |
| 1¢ | 270.1 | $2.70 |
| 0.9¢ | 853.1 | $7.68 |
| 0.8¢ | 353.1 | $2.82 |
| 0.7¢ | 505.1 | $3.54 |
| 0.6¢ | 922.7 | $5.54 |
| 0.5¢ | 425.1 | $2.13 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7¢ | 482.7 | $8.21 |
| 1.8¢ | 134.1 | $2.41 |
| 2¢ | 5 | $0.10 |
| 2.1¢ | 9 | $0.19 |
| 2.2¢ | 25 | $0.55 |
| 2.5¢ | 0.46 | $0.01 |
| 2.9¢ | 9 | $0.26 |
| 3¢ | 105 | $3.15 |
| 3.1¢ | 310.5 | $9.63 |
| 3.3¢ | 6.11 | $0.20 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.