All markets
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
View all outcomes in this event4%chance
- Yes3.7%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
3.7¢ per share
- No96%
96.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.8¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.7¢ | 100 | $3.70 |
| 3.1¢ | 5.31 | $0.16 |
| 3¢ | 26.82 | $0.80 |
| 2.9¢ | 100 | $2.90 |
| 2.7¢ | 5.25 | $0.14 |
| 2.5¢ | 66.23 | $1.66 |
| 2.4¢ | 310.8 | $7.46 |
| 2¢ | 512.61 | $10.25 |
| 1.9¢ | 200 | $3.80 |
| 1.8¢ | 762.1 | $13.72 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.8¢ | 5 | $0.19 |
| 3.9¢ | 20 | $0.78 |
| 4¢ | 5 | $0.20 |
| 4.3¢ | 5 | $0.21 |
| 4.4¢ | 14.51 | $0.64 |
| 5.1¢ | 9 | $0.46 |
| 5.2¢ | 20.1 | $1.05 |
| 5.3¢ | 9 | $0.48 |
| 5.4¢ | 34.96 | $1.89 |
| 5.5¢ | 53 | $2.92 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.