All markets
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
View all outcomes in this event<1%chance
- Yes1.5%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.9¢ per share
- No>99%
99.2¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.7¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.6¢ | 31.24 | $0.50 |
| 1.5¢ | 6.66 | $0.10 |
| 1.4¢ | 43 | $0.60 |
| 1.3¢ | 27.97 | $0.36 |
| 1.2¢ | 64 | $0.77 |
| 1.1¢ | 167.99 | $1.85 |
| 1¢ | 64 | $0.64 |
| 0.9¢ | 341.99 | $3.08 |
| 0.8¢ | 100 | $0.80 |
| 0.7¢ | 17,199.18 | $120.39 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7¢ | 94.45 | $1.61 |
| 1.8¢ | 69 | $1.24 |
| 1.9¢ | 275 | $5.23 |
| 2¢ | 100 | $2.00 |
| 2.2¢ | 116.03 | $2.55 |
| 2.3¢ | 10 | $0.23 |
| 2.4¢ | 350 | $8.40 |
| 2.5¢ | 311 | $7.78 |
| 2.7¢ | 25 | $0.68 |
| 2.8¢ | 1,291.05 | $36.15 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.