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Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
View all outcomes in this event78%chance
- Yes77.5%
Outcomes
- Yes78%
77.5¢ per share
- No23%
22.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 77.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 77¢ | 305.57 | $235.29 |
| 76¢ | 5.04 | $3.83 |
| 75¢ | 7.41 | $5.56 |
| 74¢ | 10.45 | $7.73 |
| 73¢ | 173.38 | $126.57 |
| 72¢ | 115.1 | $82.87 |
| 70¢ | 78.04 | $54.63 |
| 69¢ | 5 | $3.45 |
| 67¢ | 67.22 | $45.04 |
| 66¢ | 59.57 | $39.32 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 78¢ | 87.89 | $68.55 |
| 79¢ | 11.04 | $8.72 |
| 80¢ | 44.66 | $35.73 |
| 81¢ | 82.36 | $66.71 |
| 82¢ | 149.75 | $122.79 |
| 83¢ | 58.54 | $48.59 |
| 84¢ | 24 | $20.16 |
| 85¢ | 205.54 | $174.71 |
| 86¢ | 756.45 | $650.55 |
| 87¢ | 818.91 | $712.45 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.