All markets
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
View all outcomes in this event4%chance
- Yes4.3%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
4.3¢ per share
- No96%
95.7¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 4.3¢Spread 0.8¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.9¢ | 10 | $0.39 |
| 3.8¢ | 112 | $4.26 |
| 3.4¢ | 16 | $0.54 |
| 3.3¢ | 100 | $3.30 |
| 3.1¢ | 100 | $3.10 |
| 3¢ | 20 | $0.60 |
| 2.8¢ | 8.12 | $0.23 |
| 2.7¢ | 9.46 | $0.26 |
| 1.8¢ | 32 | $0.58 |
| 1.7¢ | 27.35 | $0.46 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.7¢ | 11.34 | $0.53 |
| 4.8¢ | 22.46 | $1.08 |
| 4.9¢ | 28.82 | $1.41 |
| 5¢ | 192.74 | $9.64 |
| 5.2¢ | 200 | $10.40 |
| 6.7¢ | 32 | $2.14 |
| 6.8¢ | 85 | $5.78 |
| 6.9¢ | 13.69 | $0.94 |
| 7¢ | 3,100.15 | $217.01 |
| 7.5¢ | 150 | $11.25 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.