All markets
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?
8%chance
- Yes7.6%
Outcomes
- Yes8%
7.6¢ per share
- No92%
92.4¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 7.6¢Spread 0.8¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7.2¢ | 26.8 | $1.93 |
| 6.9¢ | 5 | $0.35 |
| 5.8¢ | 30 | $1.74 |
| 5.6¢ | 104 | $5.82 |
| 5.5¢ | 198.7 | $10.93 |
| 5.4¢ | 616.22 | $33.28 |
| 5.3¢ | 379.1 | $20.09 |
| 5.2¢ | 266.91 | $13.88 |
| 5.1¢ | 167.63 | $8.55 |
| 5¢ | 141.32 | $7.07 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 8¢ | 39 | $3.12 |
| 8.1¢ | 47 | $3.81 |
| 8.3¢ | 91.59 | $7.60 |
| 8.4¢ | 2,054 | $172.54 |
| 8.5¢ | 97.66 | $8.30 |
| 8.6¢ | 51 | $4.39 |
| 8.7¢ | 219.05 | $19.06 |
| 9¢ | 439.56 | $39.56 |
| 9.2¢ | 82.4 | $7.58 |
| 9.3¢ | 89.3 | $8.30 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".