All markets
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch?
10%chance
- Yes10.4%
Outcomes
- Yes10%
10.4¢ per share
- No90%
89.6¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 10.4¢Spread 0.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 10.3¢ | 175 | $18.03 |
| 10.2¢ | 492.99 | $50.28 |
| 10.1¢ | 30 | $3.03 |
| 10¢ | 111 | $11.10 |
| 9.9¢ | 1,311.68 | $129.86 |
| 9.8¢ | 1,552.86 | $152.18 |
| 9.5¢ | 255 | $24.23 |
| 9.2¢ | 894 | $82.25 |
| 7.8¢ | 209.99 | $16.38 |
| 7.4¢ | 811.87 | $60.08 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 10.5¢ | 108.9 | $11.43 |
| 10.7¢ | 130 | $13.91 |
| 10.9¢ | 150.34 | $16.39 |
| 11.2¢ | 125.81 | $14.09 |
| 12¢ | 239 | $28.68 |
| 12.2¢ | 191.6 | $23.38 |
| 13.2¢ | 187.29 | $24.72 |
| 14.9¢ | 1,462 | $217.84 |
| 15¢ | 491.89 | $73.78 |
| 15.5¢ | 130 | $20.15 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".