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New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
13%chance
- Yes13%
Outcomes
- Yes13%
13.0¢ per share
- No87%
87.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 13¢Spread 2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 12¢ | 377.01 | $45.24 |
| 11¢ | 480 | $52.80 |
| 10¢ | 148.62 | $14.86 |
| 9¢ | 21.33 | $1.92 |
| 7¢ | 100 | $7.00 |
| 6¢ | 25.73 | $1.54 |
| 5¢ | 20 | $1.00 |
| 4¢ | 200 | $8.00 |
| 3¢ | 186.9 | $5.61 |
| 2¢ | 76.27 | $1.53 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 14¢ | 179.1 | $25.07 |
| 15¢ | 236.61 | $35.49 |
| 16¢ | 20 | $3.20 |
| 18¢ | 100 | $18.00 |
| 39¢ | 40 | $15.60 |
| 49¢ | 60 | $29.40 |
| 59¢ | 60 | $35.40 |
| 69¢ | 60 | $41.40 |
| 79¢ | 60 | $47.40 |
| 87¢ | 15 | $13.05 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.