All markets
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?
6%chance
- Yes6.1%
Outcomes
- Yes6%
6.1¢ per share
- No94%
93.9¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 6.1¢Spread 2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5.1¢ | 70 | $3.57 |
| 5¢ | 197.49 | $9.87 |
| 4.8¢ | 20 | $0.96 |
| 4.7¢ | 20 | $0.94 |
| 3.4¢ | 5.22 | $0.18 |
| 3.3¢ | 21 | $0.69 |
| 2.8¢ | 45 | $1.26 |
| 2.7¢ | 200 | $5.40 |
| 2.5¢ | 6.37 | $0.16 |
| 2.4¢ | 45 | $1.08 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7.1¢ | 141.99 | $10.08 |
| 7.2¢ | 200.29 | $14.42 |
| 7.4¢ | 20 | $1.48 |
| 7.5¢ | 20 | $1.50 |
| 8.1¢ | 102 | $8.26 |
| 8.4¢ | 1,100 | $92.40 |
| 8.5¢ | 20 | $1.70 |
| 8.6¢ | 21 | $1.81 |
| 44.2¢ | 78 | $34.48 |
| 44.3¢ | 346.69 | $153.58 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.