All markets
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
6%chance
- Yes5.7%
Outcomes
- Yes6%
5.7¢ per share
- No94%
94.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 5.7¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5.6¢ | 60 | $3.36 |
| 5.5¢ | 1,550 | $85.25 |
| 5.4¢ | 400 | $21.60 |
| 5.3¢ | 50 | $2.65 |
| 5.2¢ | 250 | $13.00 |
| 5.1¢ | 170.5 | $8.70 |
| 4.9¢ | 433.67 | $21.25 |
| 4.7¢ | 778.98 | $36.61 |
| 4.6¢ | 2,018.72 | $92.86 |
| 4.1¢ | 104.34 | $4.28 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5.7¢ | 1,339.97 | $76.38 |
| 5.8¢ | 708.85 | $41.11 |
| 6¢ | 50 | $3.00 |
| 6.1¢ | 50 | $3.05 |
| 6.4¢ | 627.34 | $40.15 |
| 6.5¢ | 300 | $19.50 |
| 6.7¢ | 2,607.44 | $174.70 |
| 7¢ | 200 | $14.00 |
| 7.1¢ | 5 | $0.36 |
| 7.2¢ | 50 | $3.60 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any AI gets a gold medal in the International Math Olympiad between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source is the IMO Grand Challenge (https://imo-grand-challenge.github.io/) and the Artificial Intelligence Math Olympiad (AIMO, https://aimoprize.com/). If either source demonstrates that an AI has won the challenge/prize before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes".