All markets
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?
9%chance
- Yes8.6%
Outcomes
- Yes9%
8.8¢ per share
- No91%
91.2¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 9¢Spread 14.6¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7¢ | 13.81 | $0.23 |
| 1.6¢ | 60 | $0.96 |
| 1.5¢ | 220 | $3.30 |
| 1.4¢ | 375.23 | $5.25 |
| 1.3¢ | 9,995 | $129.94 |
| 1.1¢ | 9.26 | $0.10 |
| 1¢ | 242.84 | $2.43 |
| 0.5¢ | 41.21 | $0.21 |
| 0.4¢ | 2,458.66 | $9.83 |
| 0.3¢ | 4,094.6 | $12.28 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 16.3¢ | 98.81 | $16.11 |
| 16.4¢ | 50 | $8.20 |
| 16.6¢ | 10 | $1.66 |
| 20.9¢ | 500 | $104.50 |
| 21¢ | 300 | $63.00 |
| 23¢ | 12.5 | $2.88 |
| 33¢ | 300 | $99.00 |
| 33.9¢ | 67.11 | $22.75 |
| 34¢ | 100 | $34.00 |
| 36¢ | 50 | $18.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a free trade agreement with the specified country or entity becomes law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes both agreements that become law through Senate ratification and Presidential approval, or through the enactment of a Congressional-Executive Agreement signed into law by the President. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.