All markets
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
7%chance
- Yes6.5%
Outcomes
- Yes7%
6.5¢ per share
- No94%
93.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 6.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6¢ | 5,672.96 | $340.38 |
| 5¢ | 7,450.71 | $372.54 |
| 4¢ | 8,781.16 | $351.25 |
| 3¢ | 13,312.3 | $399.37 |
| 2¢ | 34,574.35 | $691.49 |
| 1¢ | 38,321.59 | $383.22 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7¢ | 6,744.3 | $472.10 |
| 8¢ | 15,333.27 | $1,226.66 |
| 9¢ | 4,309.89 | $387.89 |
| 10¢ | 3,949.85 | $394.99 |
| 11¢ | 125.59 | $13.81 |
| 12¢ | 2,000 | $240.00 |
| 13¢ | 100 | $13.00 |
| 14¢ | 1,310.02 | $183.40 |
| 15¢ | 3,603.63 | $540.54 |
| 16¢ | 1,211 | $193.76 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.