All markets
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
4%chance
- Yes3.6%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
3.6¢ per share
- No96%
96.4¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.6¢Spread 0.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.3¢ | 49.94 | $1.65 |
| 3¢ | 12.37 | $0.37 |
| 2.6¢ | 53 | $1.38 |
| 2¢ | 107 | $2.14 |
| 1¢ | 5 | $0.05 |
| 0.8¢ | 39.37 | $0.31 |
| 0.7¢ | 45 | $0.32 |
| 0.5¢ | 40.44 | $0.20 |
| 0.4¢ | 3,016.48 | $12.07 |
| 0.3¢ | 4,388.78 | $13.17 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4¢ | 9.77 | $0.39 |
| 4.2¢ | 5.1 | $0.21 |
| 4.3¢ | 775.24 | $33.34 |
| 4.4¢ | 1,042.13 | $45.85 |
| 6.8¢ | 37.83 | $2.57 |
| 10¢ | 5 | $0.50 |
| 12¢ | 5 | $0.60 |
| 14.1¢ | 123.66 | $17.44 |
| 14.2¢ | 67 | $9.51 |
| 18¢ | 5 | $0.90 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.