All markets
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?
5%chance
- Yes4.6%
Outcomes
- Yes5%
4.6¢ per share
- No95%
95.4¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 4.5¢Spread 2.5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.3¢ | 44.82 | $1.48 |
| 3¢ | 980 | $29.40 |
| 2.5¢ | 400 | $10.00 |
| 2.2¢ | 500 | $11.00 |
| 2¢ | 1,000 | $20.00 |
| 1.2¢ | 300 | $3.60 |
| 1.1¢ | 1,000 | $11.00 |
| 1¢ | 1,515 | $15.15 |
| 0.3¢ | 300 | $0.90 |
| 0.2¢ | 200 | $0.40 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5.8¢ | 36.07 | $2.09 |
| 5.9¢ | 50 | $2.95 |
| 6¢ | 283.33 | $17.00 |
| 9¢ | 1,021 | $91.89 |
| 12¢ | 5 | $0.60 |
| 15¢ | 50 | $7.50 |
| 19¢ | 100 | $19.00 |
| 28.8¢ | 30 | $8.64 |
| 39.2¢ | 40 | $15.68 |
| 39.3¢ | 30 | $11.79 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 19 12:00 PM ET to October 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.