All markets
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.8%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.8¢ per share
- No>99%
99.2¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.8¢Spread 0.4¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6¢ | 21,661.15 | $129.97 |
| 0.1¢ | 1,222 | $1.22 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1¢ | 270 | $2.70 |
| 2¢ | 210 | $4.20 |
| 3¢ | 100 | $3.00 |
| 4¢ | 60 | $2.40 |
| 5¢ | 100 | $5.00 |
| 10¢ | 100 | $10.00 |
| 14.3¢ | 5 | $0.72 |
| 18.9¢ | 20 | $3.78 |
| 19¢ | 2,026.47 | $385.03 |
| 23.8¢ | 290 | $69.02 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 20 12:00 PM ET to October 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.