All markets
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
5%chance
- Yes5%
Outcomes
- Yes5%
5.0¢ per share
- No95%
95.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint —Spread —
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| No bids | ||
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 10¢ | 100 | $10.00 |
| 12¢ | 500 | $60.00 |
| 19¢ | 2,071.47 | $393.58 |
| 20¢ | 150 | $30.00 |
| 24¢ | 290 | $69.60 |
| 30¢ | 150 | $45.00 |
| 36¢ | 125 | $45.00 |
| 38¢ | 40 | $15.20 |
| 39¢ | 325 | $126.75 |
| 40¢ | 150 | $60.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 20 12:00 PM ET to October 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.