All markets
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
8%chance
- Yes8.5%
Outcomes
- Yes8%
8.0¢ per share
- No92%
92.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 8.5¢Spread 13¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2¢ | 228 | $4.56 |
| 1¢ | 26,528.25 | $265.28 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 15¢ | 26 | $3.90 |
| 16¢ | 105.5 | $16.88 |
| 19¢ | 2,066.47 | $392.63 |
| 20¢ | 150 | $30.00 |
| 23¢ | 5 | $1.15 |
| 28¢ | 40 | $11.20 |
| 30¢ | 237 | $71.10 |
| 31¢ | 40 | $12.40 |
| 33¢ | 60 | $19.80 |
| 34¢ | 60 | $20.40 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 20 12:00 PM ET to October 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.