All markets
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
14%chance
- Yes13.5%
Outcomes
- Yes14%
13.5¢ per share
- No87%
86.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 13.5¢Spread 9¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9¢ | 200 | $18.00 |
| 8¢ | 54 | $4.32 |
| 4¢ | 1,505 | $60.20 |
| 3¢ | 20,731.46 | $621.94 |
| 2¢ | 32.5 | $0.65 |
| 1¢ | 272.5 | $2.73 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 18¢ | 25 | $4.50 |
| 19¢ | 2,026.47 | $385.03 |
| 20¢ | 250 | $50.00 |
| 25¢ | 100 | $25.00 |
| 29¢ | 30 | $8.70 |
| 30¢ | 250 | $75.00 |
| 37¢ | 10 | $3.70 |
| 39¢ | 40 | $15.60 |
| 40¢ | 277 | $110.80 |
| 41¢ | 127 | $52.07 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 20 12:00 PM ET to October 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.