All markets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?
17%chance
- Yes16.5%
Outcomes
- Yes17%
16.5¢ per share
- No84%
83.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 16.5¢Spread 5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 14¢ | 221.56 | $31.02 |
| 13¢ | 121.21 | $15.76 |
| 12¢ | 53 | $6.36 |
| 7¢ | 180 | $12.60 |
| 4¢ | 71 | $2.84 |
| 3¢ | 14,155.27 | $424.66 |
| 2¢ | 32.5 | $0.65 |
| 1¢ | 42.5 | $0.43 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 19¢ | 2,199.92 | $417.98 |
| 20¢ | 270 | $54.00 |
| 25¢ | 100 | $25.00 |
| 30¢ | 250 | $75.00 |
| 40¢ | 150 | $60.00 |
| 49¢ | 20 | $9.80 |
| 50¢ | 313 | $156.50 |
| 54¢ | 10 | $5.40 |
| 60¢ | 10 | $6.00 |
| 61¢ | 10 | $6.10 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 20 12:00 PM ET to October 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.