All markets
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?
4%chance
- Yes3.9%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
3.9¢ per share
- No96%
96.1¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.9¢Spread 0.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.8¢ | 67 | $2.55 |
| 3.7¢ | 13,459.39 | $498.00 |
| 1¢ | 10 | $0.10 |
| 0.4¢ | 300 | $1.20 |
| 0.3¢ | 3,300 | $9.90 |
| 0.2¢ | 5,300 | $10.60 |
| 0.1¢ | 11,794 | $11.79 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4¢ | 52 | $2.08 |
| 4.3¢ | 25 | $1.08 |
| 4.6¢ | 15 | $0.69 |
| 5.9¢ | 27 | $1.59 |
| 6¢ | 65 | $3.90 |
| 6.2¢ | 7 | $0.43 |
| 6.3¢ | 58.64 | $3.69 |
| 9.5¢ | 5 | $0.48 |
| 9.6¢ | 112.36 | $10.79 |
| 9.9¢ | 50 | $4.95 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 17 12:00 PM ET to October 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.