All markets
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?
5%chance
- Yes4.5%
Outcomes
- Yes5%
4.5¢ per share
- No96%
95.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 4.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4¢ | 1,359.04 | $54.36 |
| 3¢ | 3,461.86 | $103.86 |
| 2¢ | 286 | $5.72 |
| 1¢ | 315 | $3.15 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5¢ | 114.76 | $5.74 |
| 6¢ | 212.33 | $12.74 |
| 7¢ | 1,190 | $83.30 |
| 9¢ | 13 | $1.17 |
| 10¢ | 290.29 | $29.03 |
| 11¢ | 127.47 | $14.02 |
| 17¢ | 150 | $25.50 |
| 18¢ | 110 | $19.80 |
| 23¢ | 510 | $117.30 |
| 32¢ | 110 | $35.20 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 17 12:00 PM ET to October 19, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.