All markets
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.6%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.6¢ per share
- No>99%
99.4¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.6¢Spread 0.6¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3¢ | 120 | $0.36 |
| 0.2¢ | 1,065.07 | $2.13 |
| 0.1¢ | 19,721.71 | $19.72 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9¢ | 10 | $0.09 |
| 1¢ | 237.27 | $2.37 |
| 1.9¢ | 5 | $0.10 |
| 2¢ | 100 | $2.00 |
| 2.9¢ | 5 | $0.15 |
| 3¢ | 120.53 | $3.62 |
| 3.1¢ | 16 | $0.50 |
| 3.4¢ | 40 | $1.36 |
| 3.7¢ | 24 | $0.89 |
| 4¢ | 5 | $0.20 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.