All markets
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.8%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.8¢ per share
- No>99%
99.2¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.8¢Spread 0.8¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4¢ | 172.29 | $0.69 |
| 0.3¢ | 1,677.69 | $5.03 |
| 0.2¢ | 5,991 | $11.98 |
| 0.1¢ | 61,080.08 | $61.08 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2¢ | 5 | $0.06 |
| 1.3¢ | 45 | $0.59 |
| 1.4¢ | 15 | $0.21 |
| 1.5¢ | 5 | $0.08 |
| 1.6¢ | 100 | $1.60 |
| 2.5¢ | 5 | $0.13 |
| 2.6¢ | 100 | $2.60 |
| 3.7¢ | 13.87 | $0.51 |
| 4¢ | 40 | $1.60 |
| 4.3¢ | 26.13 | $1.12 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.