All markets
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
1%chance
- Yes1.1%
Outcomes
- Yes1%
1.2¢ per share
- No99%
98.8¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.1¢Spread 1.5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4¢ | 44 | $0.18 |
| 0.3¢ | 1,807.58 | $5.42 |
| 0.2¢ | 115,454.71 | $230.91 |
| 0.1¢ | 20,941 | $20.94 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9¢ | 5 | $0.10 |
| 2¢ | 44.85 | $0.90 |
| 2.1¢ | 107.47 | $2.26 |
| 3¢ | 5 | $0.15 |
| 3.1¢ | 105 | $3.26 |
| 3.2¢ | 16 | $0.51 |
| 3.5¢ | 24 | $0.84 |
| 3.8¢ | 24 | $0.91 |
| 5.7¢ | 16 | $0.91 |
| 6¢ | 275.41 | $16.52 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.