All markets
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
5%chance
- Yes4.5%
Outcomes
- Yes5%
4.5¢ per share
- No96%
95.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint —Spread —
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| No bids | ||
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9¢ | 124 | $11.16 |
| 11¢ | 40 | $4.40 |
| 12¢ | 10 | $1.20 |
| 13¢ | 120 | $15.60 |
| 14¢ | 120 | $16.80 |
| 18¢ | 241 | $43.38 |
| 20¢ | 150 | $30.00 |
| 25¢ | 1,555.93 | $388.98 |
| 30¢ | 150 | $45.00 |
| 39¢ | 120 | $46.80 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.