
2%chance
2.5¢ per share
97.5¢ per share
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2¢ | 171.26 | $2.06 |
| 1.1¢ | 702.84 | $7.73 |
| 1¢ | 20,591.24 | $205.91 |
| 0.8¢ | 200 | $1.60 |
| 0.7¢ | 200 | $1.40 |
| 0.6¢ | 300 | $1.80 |
| 0.5¢ | 700 | $3.50 |
| 0.4¢ | 25,000 | $100.00 |
| 0.3¢ | 1,690 | $5.07 |
| 0.2¢ | 11,541 | $23.08 |
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.7¢ | 56.1 | $2.08 |
| 3.8¢ | 15 | $0.57 |
| 4¢ | 116 | $4.64 |
| 4.3¢ | 40 | $1.72 |
| 4.5¢ | 5 | $0.22 |
| 4.6¢ | 24 | $1.10 |
| 5¢ | 100 | $5.00 |
| 7.4¢ | 31 | $2.29 |
| 7.5¢ | 110 | $8.25 |
| 7.8¢ | 110 | $8.58 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.