All markets
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
16%chance
- Yes15.5%
Outcomes
- Yes16%
15.5¢ per share
- No85%
84.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 15.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 15¢ | 865.58 | $129.84 |
| 14¢ | 287.02 | $40.18 |
| 13¢ | 308.03 | $40.04 |
| 12¢ | 55 | $6.60 |
| 11¢ | 60 | $6.60 |
| 9¢ | 5 | $0.45 |
| 8¢ | 14 | $1.12 |
| 5¢ | 5 | $0.25 |
| 4¢ | 20,290 | $811.60 |
| 3¢ | 89 | $2.67 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 16¢ | 651.01 | $104.16 |
| 17¢ | 799 | $135.83 |
| 18¢ | 473 | $85.14 |
| 19¢ | 425 | $80.75 |
| 20¢ | 1,692.17 | $338.43 |
| 21¢ | 100 | $21.00 |
| 22¢ | 288.78 | $63.53 |
| 23¢ | 156 | $35.88 |
| 24¢ | 184 | $44.16 |
| 25¢ | 464 | $116.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.