All markets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
17%chance
- Yes16.5%
Outcomes
- Yes17%
16.5¢ per share
- No84%
83.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 16.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 16¢ | 779.05 | $124.65 |
| 15¢ | 116 | $17.40 |
| 14¢ | 1,145 | $160.30 |
| 13¢ | 4,610 | $599.30 |
| 12¢ | 563 | $67.56 |
| 5¢ | 5 | $0.25 |
| 4¢ | 100 | $4.00 |
| 3¢ | 739.5 | $22.19 |
| 2¢ | 465.5 | $9.31 |
| 1¢ | 1,086.5 | $10.87 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 17¢ | 1,195.46 | $203.23 |
| 18¢ | 397 | $71.46 |
| 19¢ | 228 | $43.32 |
| 20¢ | 1,968.17 | $393.63 |
| 21¢ | 126 | $26.46 |
| 25¢ | 100 | $25.00 |
| 27¢ | 119 | $32.13 |
| 28¢ | 119 | $33.32 |
| 29¢ | 149 | $43.21 |
| 30¢ | 369 | $110.70 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.