All markets
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
4%chance
- Yes3.8%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
3.8¢ per share
- No96%
96.2¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.8¢Spread 1.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.2¢ | 16 | $0.51 |
| 3.1¢ | 400 | $12.40 |
| 3¢ | 531.82 | $15.95 |
| 2.4¢ | 19,285.8 | $462.86 |
| 2.2¢ | 800 | $17.60 |
| 2¢ | 200 | $4.00 |
| 1.1¢ | 300 | $3.30 |
| 1¢ | 10 | $0.10 |
| 0.5¢ | 7.01 | $0.04 |
| 0.3¢ | 406.66 | $1.22 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.4¢ | 5 | $0.22 |
| 4.5¢ | 50.1 | $2.25 |
| 4.6¢ | 10.05 | $0.46 |
| 5.3¢ | 45.12 | $2.39 |
| 5.4¢ | 100 | $5.40 |
| 5.9¢ | 31 | $1.83 |
| 6¢ | 340 | $20.40 |
| 6.2¢ | 10 | $0.62 |
| 6.3¢ | 40 | $2.52 |
| 6.4¢ | 100 | $6.40 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.