All markets
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.7%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.8¢ per share
- No>99%
99.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.7¢Spread 0.4¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5¢ | 23,652.31 | $118.26 |
| 0.4¢ | 5 | $0.02 |
| 0.3¢ | 3,963 | $11.89 |
| 0.2¢ | 5,000 | $10.00 |
| 0.1¢ | 16,287 | $16.29 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9¢ | 12 | $0.11 |
| 1¢ | 2,205.5 | $22.06 |
| 1.1¢ | 10.19 | $0.11 |
| 1.2¢ | 2,005.72 | $24.07 |
| 1.4¢ | 5 | $0.07 |
| 1.5¢ | 3,330 | $49.95 |
| 2¢ | 100 | $2.00 |
| 3.3¢ | 16 | $0.53 |
| 3.6¢ | 40 | $1.44 |
| 3.9¢ | 1,024 | $39.94 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.