All markets
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.5%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.1¢ per share
- No>99%
100.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint —Spread —
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| No bids | ||
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1¢ | 5 | $0.01 |
| 0.2¢ | 5 | $0.01 |
| 0.3¢ | 5 | $0.02 |
| 0.5¢ | 5 | $0.03 |
| 0.8¢ | 80 | $0.64 |
| 0.9¢ | 400 | $3.60 |
| 1¢ | 3,505 | $35.05 |
| 1.1¢ | 200 | $2.20 |
| 1.2¢ | 255.54 | $3.07 |
| 1.7¢ | 13.87 | $0.24 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 16 12:00 PM ET to October 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.