All markets
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
1%chance
- Yes1.1%
Outcomes
- Yes1%
1.1¢ per share
- No99%
98.9¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.1¢Spread 1.8¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2¢ | 5,200 | $10.40 |
| 0.1¢ | 12,740 | $12.74 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2¢ | 10 | $0.20 |
| 2.5¢ | 10 | $0.25 |
| 3¢ | 21 | $0.63 |
| 3.5¢ | 10 | $0.35 |
| 4¢ | 10 | $0.40 |
| 5¢ | 10 | $0.50 |
| 6¢ | 9.99 | $0.60 |
| 7¢ | 10 | $0.70 |
| 8¢ | 10 | $0.80 |
| 9¢ | 10 | $0.90 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 15 12:00 PM ET to October 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.