All markets
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?
7%chance
- Yes6.5%
Outcomes
- Yes7%
6.5¢ per share
- No94%
93.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 6.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6¢ | 36.66 | $2.20 |
| 5¢ | 530.19 | $26.51 |
| 4¢ | 930 | $37.20 |
| 3¢ | 211 | $6.33 |
| 2¢ | 498.6 | $9.97 |
| 1¢ | 777 | $7.77 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7¢ | 23.5 | $1.65 |
| 8¢ | 170 | $13.60 |
| 9¢ | 2,052.25 | $184.70 |
| 10¢ | 471.16 | $47.12 |
| 11¢ | 78.57 | $8.64 |
| 14¢ | 500 | $70.00 |
| 15¢ | 5 | $0.75 |
| 17¢ | 20 | $3.40 |
| 18¢ | 40 | $7.20 |
| 19¢ | 164.25 | $31.21 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 15 12:00 PM ET to October 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.