All markets
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.1%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.1¢ per share
- No>99%
99.9¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint —Spread —
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| No bids | ||
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2¢ | 2,915.85 | $5.83 |
| 1¢ | 94 | $0.94 |
| 1.1¢ | 10 | $0.11 |
| 1.2¢ | 165.99 | $1.99 |
| 2¢ | 20 | $0.40 |
| 3¢ | 44 | $1.32 |
| 3.7¢ | 5 | $0.19 |
| 5¢ | 21 | $1.05 |
| 9.4¢ | 486.76 | $45.76 |
| 9.7¢ | 60 | $5.82 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 12 12:00 PM ET to October 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.