All markets
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.5%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.5¢ per share
- No>99%
99.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.5¢Spread 0.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2¢ | 5 | $0.01 |
| 0.1¢ | 11,125.08 | $11.13 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9¢ | 15 | $0.13 |
| 1¢ | 23 | $0.23 |
| 2.9¢ | 5 | $0.15 |
| 3¢ | 23 | $0.69 |
| 3.7¢ | 5 | $0.19 |
| 7.1¢ | 52.23 | $3.71 |
| 7.2¢ | 79 | $5.69 |
| 8.1¢ | 50 | $4.05 |
| 8.7¢ | 245 | $21.31 |
| 10.5¢ | 40 | $4.20 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 12 12:00 PM ET to October 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.