All markets
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
2%chance
- Yes1.6%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
1.6¢ per share
- No98%
98.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.6¢Spread 2.5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.3¢ | 1,505 | $4.52 |
| 0.2¢ | 5,405.16 | $10.81 |
| 0.1¢ | 16,075 | $16.08 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.8¢ | 53.1 | $1.49 |
| 2.9¢ | 44 | $1.28 |
| 3¢ | 11 | $0.33 |
| 3.8¢ | 5 | $0.19 |
| 5.7¢ | 5 | $0.29 |
| 5.8¢ | 40 | $2.32 |
| 7.2¢ | 45 | $3.24 |
| 7.5¢ | 79 | $5.93 |
| 8.3¢ | 180 | $14.94 |
| 8.4¢ | 268.77 | $22.58 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 12 12:00 PM ET to October 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.