All markets
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.8%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.8¢ per share
- No>99%
99.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.8¢Spread 0.3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6¢ | 1,005 | $6.03 |
| 0.4¢ | 3,083 | $12.33 |
| 0.3¢ | 3,000 | $9.00 |
| 0.2¢ | 5,563 | $11.13 |
| 0.1¢ | 11,231 | $11.23 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9¢ | 5 | $0.05 |
| 1¢ | 12.4 | $0.12 |
| 1.8¢ | 5 | $0.09 |
| 1.9¢ | 35 | $0.67 |
| 2¢ | 20 | $0.40 |
| 2.9¢ | 5 | $0.15 |
| 3¢ | 11 | $0.33 |
| 4¢ | 321.9 | $12.88 |
| 5.6¢ | 50 | $2.80 |
| 7.5¢ | 12 | $0.90 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 12 12:00 PM ET to October 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.