All markets
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
4%chance
- Yes3.6%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
3.6¢ per share
- No96%
96.4¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.6¢Spread 2.4¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.4¢ | 45 | $1.08 |
| 2.3¢ | 200 | $4.60 |
| 2.2¢ | 21 | $0.46 |
| 2.1¢ | 106 | $2.23 |
| 2¢ | 5,005.25 | $100.11 |
| 1.1¢ | 29.99 | $0.33 |
| 1¢ | 15 | $0.15 |
| 0.9¢ | 7.39 | $0.07 |
| 0.8¢ | 7.74 | $0.06 |
| 0.5¢ | 1,000 | $5.00 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.8¢ | 5.6 | $0.27 |
| 4.9¢ | 22 | $1.08 |
| 5¢ | 697.64 | $34.88 |
| 7.5¢ | 5 | $0.38 |
| 7.6¢ | 12 | $0.91 |
| 7.8¢ | 5 | $0.39 |
| 7.9¢ | 40 | $3.16 |
| 8.6¢ | 50 | $4.30 |
| 9.2¢ | 47.23 | $4.35 |
| 9.3¢ | 18 | $1.67 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 12 12:00 PM ET to October 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.