
12%chance
11.5¢ per share
88.5¢ per share
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 10¢ | 486.76 | $48.68 |
| 9¢ | 351.91 | $31.67 |
| 8¢ | 71 | $5.68 |
| 7¢ | 95 | $6.65 |
| 6¢ | 159.29 | $9.56 |
| 5¢ | 580.12 | $29.01 |
| 4¢ | 2,045 | $81.80 |
| 3¢ | 558 | $16.74 |
| 2¢ | 205.25 | $4.11 |
| 1¢ | 540 | $5.40 |
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 13¢ | 413.23 | $53.72 |
| 14¢ | 97 | $13.58 |
| 15¢ | 73 | $10.95 |
| 16¢ | 40 | $6.40 |
| 17¢ | 233.59 | $39.71 |
| 18¢ | 373.4 | $67.21 |
| 19¢ | 659.13 | $125.23 |
| 20¢ | 210 | $42.00 |
| 23¢ | 10 | $2.30 |
| 25¢ | 5 | $1.25 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 12 12:00 PM ET to October 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.